The Irish Will Be a Minority In Ireland By 2040

By Cathal Donnelly

Let's stop pretending. Let's ignore the polite talk from the politicians and the media who call you a bigot for even noticing what’s happening to our country.

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The Ireland we grew up in is being dismantled, brick by brick, and replaced with something unrecognizable. And the cold, hard math shows it’s happening faster than anyone wants to admit.

We’re told that record immigration is good for the economy, that we need it. But they never ask us what it does for our community, our identity, or our children’s future. The 2022 census was a wake-up call for those paying attention: 82% of the people in Ireland were ethnically Irish. That sounds high, right? But that’s down from 94% just over twenty years ago. The direction is clear, and the speed is terrifying.

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Look at the official numbers yourself. In 2023, a staggering 142,000 people moved to Ireland. The year before it was 121,000. It’s not a steady trickle; it’s a flood that’s getting bigger every year. And the government has no plan to stop it. In fact, they’re encouraging it.

So, I did the math they’re afraid to do. Let’s make some simple, conservative assumptions:

• Let’s assume the number of migrants per year keeps increasing at the trend it’s been following over the past 5 years.

• Let’s cap the maximum number of migrants at 200,000 per year—a nice, round number that’s actually lower than where the current trend is heading.

• Let’s assume the native Irish population stays roughly the same.

Projected Demographic Of Ireland Following Current Trend

When you run the numbers, the result is a gut punch. The ethnically Irish population is on track to become a minority—less than half the country—by 2040.

This isn't a complicated theory. It's simple addition. Every year, hundreds of thousands of new people are added, while the number of native Irish stays the same. The share must fall. It's basic arithmetic.

They will call this math "hateful." They will say you are "racist" for not wanting your own people and your unique culture to be replaced. But numbers are not racist. Two plus two will always equal four, no matter how much the elites scream at you.

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This is the great silent crisis of our time. While the government lectures us about inclusivity, they are presiding over the end of a sovereign, majority-Irish Ireland.

It’s a future our grandparents would not recognize, and it’s a future we must have the courage to say we do not want. The time to wake up and demand a change is now, before the Ireland we love is just a memory.